{"id":3376,"date":"2025-09-17T09:56:23","date_gmt":"2025-09-17T08:56:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.robbtax.co.uk\/blog\/?p=3376"},"modified":"2025-09-17T08:56:46","modified_gmt":"2025-09-17T08:56:46","slug":"fewer-workers-but-higher-wages-is-this-what-the-uk-job-market-looks-like-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.robbtax.co.uk\/blog\/fewer-workers-but-higher-wages-is-this-what-the-uk-job-market-looks-like-now\/","title":{"rendered":"Fewer workers but higher wages \u2013 Is this what the UK job market looks like now?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>There\u2019s plenty of pessimism about the UK jobs market at the moment, but not every change is a bad omen.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>With the Autumn Budget still two months away and many firms wary of making big moves, it is not a simple task to predict what comes next.<\/p>\n<p>Still, the data we do have points to an emerging pattern of fewer employees on payrolls, but meaningful pay growth for those who remain.<\/p>\n<p>We want to help you understand the ways you can adapt your business to keep pace with the changes in the UK job market.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Is the UK jobs market in trouble?<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>How you answer that depends on the metric you choose.<\/p>\n<p>HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) data shows a fall in payroll employment with a drop of roughly 8,000 fewer people on payroll, contributing to 127,000 fewer employees on payrolls than a year ago.<\/p>\n<p>On the face of it, that sounds alarming.<\/p>\n<p>However, context matters and it is important to note that wages are still rising.<\/p>\n<p>The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reports that regular pay excluding bonuses grew by 4.8 per cent in the three months to July, down a bit from five per cent in the three months to June, yet still significant given the cost-of-living squeeze.<\/p>\n<p>On the whole, it seems that employers are trimming headcount while maintaining or even increasing pay for the staff they keep.<\/p>\n<p>That pattern could be reflecting some of the difficult choices that have been made recently.<\/p>\n<p>Rising employer National Insurance Contributions (NICs), hikes to the National Minimum Wage (NMW) and National Living Wage (NLW), and other statutory costs have all forced businesses to rethink labour strategies.<\/p>\n<p>Reducing the workforce can free up budget to retain key personnel with stronger pay and benefits, which in turn helps preserve capability and morale in a smaller team.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>What can you do if employee costs are becoming a concern?<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>With the Autumn Budget looming, many organisations are understandably cautious about committing to long-term changes.<\/p>\n<p>In the meantime, businesses should focus on control and preparedness.<\/p>\n<p>It is imperative that they get a clear handle on payroll obligations and forecast likely costs under different Budget scenarios.<\/p>\n<p>We can help stress-test your payroll to show how pay rises, NICs and other changes impact your cashflow.<\/p>\n<p>Businesses should also consider the composition and capability of the team they retain.<\/p>\n<p>Strengthening pay and support for core staff can be a pragmatic way to manage overall payroll spend while keeping the talent you need.<\/p>\n<p>That does not mean leaving people to fend for themselves as there is still scope to invest in HR support, training and wellbeing so a smaller workforce can operate at full capacity.<\/p>\n<p>Automation, smarter rostering and productivity tools can reduce manual effort and allow a leaner team to achieve more without overtime or burnout.<\/p>\n<p>Where hiring is essential, flexible contracts and temporary resources can plug gaps without committing permanently to higher long-term costs.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019re working with businesses to navigate rising employment costs through smarter payroll planning, benefits reviews and digital efficiency.<\/p>\n<p>If you\u2019re worried about the impact of headcount changes or need a payroll stress test ahead of the Autumn Budget, speak to our team.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ll help you balance compliance, competitiveness and the well-being of your people so you\u2019re ready for whatever comes next.<\/p>\n<p><strong>For help managing your payroll obligations, speak to our team today!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There\u2019s plenty of pessimism about the UK jobs market at the moment, but not every change is a bad omen.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3379,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,89],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Fewer workers but higher wages \u2013 Is this what the UK job market looks like now? 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